{"id":6972,"date":"2026-04-20T16:16:38","date_gmt":"2026-04-20T20:16:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/caribbean-risks.org\/?p=6972"},"modified":"2026-04-20T16:16:39","modified_gmt":"2026-04-20T20:16:39","slug":"2026-hurricane-season-forecast-in-the-caribbean","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/caribbean-risks.org\/es\/2026-hurricane-season-forecast-in-the-caribbean\/","title":{"rendered":"2026 hurricane season forecast in the Caribbean"},"content":{"rendered":"[et_pb_section fb_built=\u00a0\u00bb1&Prime; _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.6&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb min_height=\u00a0\u00bb1115.6px\u00a0\u00bb custom_margin=\u00a0\u00bb||270px|||\u00a0\u00bb custom_padding=\u00a0\u00bb0px||0px|||\u00a0\u00bb da_disable_devices=\u00a0\u00bboff|off|off\u00a0\u00bb global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{}\u00a0\u00bb da_is_popup=\u00a0\u00bboff\u00a0\u00bb da_exit_intent=\u00a0\u00bboff\u00a0\u00bb da_has_close=\u00a0\u00bbon\u00a0\u00bb da_alt_close=\u00a0\u00bboff\u00a0\u00bb da_dark_close=\u00a0\u00bboff\u00a0\u00bb da_not_modal=\u00a0\u00bbon\u00a0\u00bb da_is_singular=\u00a0\u00bboff\u00a0\u00bb da_with_loader=\u00a0\u00bboff\u00a0\u00bb da_has_shadow=\u00a0\u00bbon\u00a0\u00bb][et_pb_row _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.6&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb background_image=\u00a0\u00bbhttps:\/\/caribbean-risks.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/4.jpg\u00a0\u00bb background_size=\u00a0\u00bbinitial\u00a0\u00bb min_height=\u00a0\u00bb250.4px\u00a0\u00bb overflow-x=\u00a0\u00bbscroll\u00a0\u00bb custom_margin=\u00a0\u00bb-17px|auto||auto||\u00a0\u00bb filter_opacity=\u00a0\u00bb78%\u00a0\u00bb global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{}\u00a0\u00bb][et_pb_column type=\u00a0\u00bb4_4&Prime; _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.6&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{}\u00a0\u00bb][et_pb_text _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.6&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb text_font=\u00a0\u00bbMontserrat|||on|||||\u00a0\u00bb text_text_color=\u00a0\u00bb#FFFFFF\u00a0\u00bb text_font_size=\u00a0\u00bb15px\u00a0\u00bb text_letter_spacing=\u00a0\u00bb10px\u00a0\u00bb text_line_height=\u00a0\u00bb1.9em\u00a0\u00bb background_layout=\u00a0\u00bbdark\u00a0\u00bb min_height=\u00a0\u00bb371px\u00a0\u00bb custom_margin=\u00a0\u00bb0px|50px||50px|false|false\u00a0\u00bb text_text_shadow_style=\u00a0\u00bbpreset2&Prime; global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{}\u00a0\u00bb]<h1 style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/h1>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<h1 style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>2026 Hurricane Season Forecast in the Caribbean<\/strong><\/h1>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][et_pb_row _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.6&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb min_height=\u00a0\u00bb96.4px\u00a0\u00bb global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{}\u00a0\u00bb][et_pb_column type=\u00a0\u00bb4_4&Prime; _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.6&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{}\u00a0\u00bb][et_pb_text _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.6&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{}\u00a0\u00bb]<p>2026 hurricane season forecast in the Caribbean is expected to present mixed signals. While major international meteorological agencies anticipate activity close to or slightly below average, several concerning indicators call for continued vigilance and maximum preparedness among populations and risk management stakeholders across the region.<\/p>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][et_pb_row _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.6&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb background_color=\u00a0\u00bbrgba(0,101,114,0.31)\u00a0\u00bb width=\u00a0\u00bb100%\u00a0\u00bb max_width=\u00a0\u00bb2560px\u00a0\u00bb min_height=\u00a0\u00bb68px\u00a0\u00bb height=\u00a0\u00bb100px\u00a0\u00bb max_height=\u00a0\u00bb1000px\u00a0\u00bb custom_padding=\u00a0\u00bb||||false|false\u00a0\u00bb border_width_left=\u00a0\u00bb4px\u00a0\u00bb border_color_left=\u00a0\u00bbgcid-2352d280-fe84-43b1-a71e-f400c35a526a\u00a0\u00bb global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{%22gcid-2352d280-fe84-43b1-a71e-f400c35a526a%22:%91%22border_color_left%22%93}\u00a0\u00bb][et_pb_column type=\u00a0\u00bb4_4&Prime; _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.6&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{}\u00a0\u00bb][et_pb_text _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.6&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb text_font=\u00a0\u00bb&#8211;et_global_body_font||||||||\u00a0\u00bb text_text_color=\u00a0\u00bbgcid-2352d280-fe84-43b1-a71e-f400c35a526a\u00a0\u00bb background_color=\u00a0\u00bbRGBA(255,255,255,0)\u00a0\u00bb text_orientation=\u00a0\u00bbjustified\u00a0\u00bb custom_margin=\u00a0\u00bb|50px||50px|false|true\u00a0\u00bb custom_padding=\u00a0\u00bb|0px|||false|false\u00a0\u00bb global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{%22gcid-2352d280-fe84-43b1-a71e-f400c35a526a%22:%91%22text_text_color%22%93}\u00a0\u00bb]<p><strong>\u26a0\ufe0f A single hurricane is enough to cause a disaster. Regardless of the overall seasonal outlook, preparedness and prevention must remain comprehensive and uncompromising.<\/strong><\/p>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][et_pb_row _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.6&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{}\u00a0\u00bb][et_pb_column type=\u00a0\u00bb4_4&Prime; _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.6&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{}\u00a0\u00bb][et_pb_text _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.6&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb text_font=\u00a0\u00bbMontserrat||||||||\u00a0\u00bb text_font_size=\u00a0\u00bb11px\u00a0\u00bb border_width_bottom=\u00a0\u00bb2px\u00a0\u00bb border_color_bottom=\u00a0\u00bbgcid-2352d280-fe84-43b1-a71e-f400c35a526a\u00a0\u00bb global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{%22gcid-2352d280-fe84-43b1-a71e-f400c35a526a%22:%91%22border_color_bottom%22%93}\u00a0\u00bb]<h2>Official hurricane season: June 1, 2026, in the Caribbean\u2026already a cause for concern<\/h2>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_text _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.6&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb hover_enabled=\u00a0\u00bb0&Prime; global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{}\u00a0\u00bb sticky_enabled=\u00a0\u00bb0&Prime;]<p>The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will officially run from June 1 to November 30. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nhc.noaa.gov\/\">The National Hurricane Center (NHC)<\/a> will begin issuing regular tropical weather outlooks as early as May 15, two weeks before the official start of the season.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">However, the <a href=\"https:\/\/rcc.cimh.edu.bb\/caricof\/\">Caribbean Regional Climate Centre (CARICOF)<\/a> has already raised concerns. According to its experts, unusually warm and persistent sea surface temperatures in the tropical North Atlantic could trigger significant weather activity across parts of the Caribbean as early as April 2026, ahead of the official season.<\/p>\n<p>This early activity reflects a broader trend observed in recent years, with tropical systems forming earlier than historically expected. At the local level, CARICOF also highlights an increased risk of flash floods and flooding events from April to May, as well as the likelihood of prolonged drought conditions in Grenada, Saint Vincent, Martinique, and Dominica.<\/p>\n<p>Seasonal forecasts always carry a significant degree of uncertainty, particularly due to the evolving influence of large-scale climate phenomena such as El Ni\u00f1o and La Ni\u00f1a.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ressources : CARICOF \u2013 march 2026 bulletin ; NHC\/NOAA<\/span><\/i><\/p>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_text _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.6&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb text_font=\u00a0\u00bbMontserrat||||||||\u00a0\u00bb border_width_bottom=\u00a0\u00bb2px\u00a0\u00bb border_color_bottom=\u00a0\u00bbgcid-2352d280-fe84-43b1-a71e-f400c35a526a\u00a0\u00bb global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{%22gcid-2352d280-fe84-43b1-a71e-f400c35a526a%22:%91%22border_color_bottom%22%93}\u00a0\u00bb]<h2>2026 hurricane season forecast in the Caribbean according to institutes<\/h2>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][et_pb_row _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.6&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb background_color=\u00a0\u00bbrgba(0,101,114,0.31)\u00a0\u00bb width=\u00a0\u00bb100%\u00a0\u00bb max_width=\u00a0\u00bb2560px\u00a0\u00bb min_height=\u00a0\u00bb134px\u00a0\u00bb height=\u00a0\u00bb100px\u00a0\u00bb max_height=\u00a0\u00bb1000px\u00a0\u00bb custom_margin=\u00a0\u00bb-16px|auto||auto||\u00a0\u00bb custom_padding=\u00a0\u00bb||||false|false\u00a0\u00bb border_color_all=\u00a0\u00bbgcid-2352d280-fe84-43b1-a71e-f400c35a526a\u00a0\u00bb border_width_left=\u00a0\u00bb4px\u00a0\u00bb global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{%22gcid-2352d280-fe84-43b1-a71e-f400c35a526a%22:%91%22border_color_all%22%93}\u00a0\u00bb][et_pb_column type=\u00a0\u00bb4_4&Prime; _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.6&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{}\u00a0\u00bb][et_pb_text _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.6&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb text_font=\u00a0\u00bb&#8211;et_global_body_font||||||||\u00a0\u00bb text_text_color=\u00a0\u00bbgcid-2352d280-fe84-43b1-a71e-f400c35a526a\u00a0\u00bb background_color=\u00a0\u00bbRGBA(255,255,255,0)\u00a0\u00bb text_orientation=\u00a0\u00bbjustified\u00a0\u00bb custom_margin=\u00a0\u00bb|50px||50px|false|true\u00a0\u00bb custom_padding=\u00a0\u00bb0px|0px|||false|false\u00a0\u00bb global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{%22gcid-2352d280-fe84-43b1-a71e-f400c35a526a%22:%91%22text_text_color%22%93}\u00a0\u00bb]<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Important to understand:<\/strong><br \/>Seasonal forecasts apply to the entire Atlantic basin. This does not mean that these systems will make landfall. Some may remain at sea, weaken, or never impact the Caribbean.<\/p>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][et_pb_row _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.6&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb min_height=\u00a0\u00bb498.5px\u00a0\u00bb custom_margin=\u00a0\u00bb14px|auto|33px|auto||\u00a0\u00bb custom_padding=\u00a0\u00bb16px||3px|||\u00a0\u00bb global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{}\u00a0\u00bb][et_pb_column type=\u00a0\u00bb4_4&Prime; _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.6&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{}\u00a0\u00bb][et_pb_text _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.6&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb min_height=\u00a0\u00bb36px\u00a0\u00bb global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{}\u00a0\u00bb]<h3>Tropical Storm Risk (TSR)<\/h3>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_text _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.6&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb custom_margin=\u00a0\u00bb-27px|||||\u00a0\u00bb global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{}\u00a0\u00bb]<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The UK-based Tropical Storm Risk consortium projects a near-average season, with 14 named storms, 7 hurricanes, and 3 major hurricanes. These projections are based on above-average Atlantic sea surface temperatures and slightly weakened trade winds across the Caribbean.<\/p>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_text _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.6&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{}\u00a0\u00bb]<h3>AccuWeather\u00a0<\/h3>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_text _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.6&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb custom_margin=\u00a0\u00bb-21px|||||\u00a0\u00bb global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{}\u00a0\u00bb]<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The American forecasting service anticipates between 11 and 16 named storms, including 4 to 7 hurricanes and 2 to 4 major hurricanes. Ocean temperatures are expected to remain warm throughout the year, although lower than the record levels observed in 2023.<\/p>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_text _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.6&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb min_height=\u00a0\u00bb0px\u00a0\u00bb custom_padding=\u00a0\u00bb||0px|||\u00a0\u00bb global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{}\u00a0\u00bb]<h3>Climate Impact Company<\/h3>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_text _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.6&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb min_height=\u00a0\u00bb92.2px\u00a0\u00bb custom_margin=\u00a0\u00bb-23px|||||\u00a0\u00bb global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{}\u00a0\u00bb]<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">This climate analytics firm forecasts 12 to 16 tropical storms, around 6 hurricanes, and 3 to 4 major hurricanes\u2014figures broadly consistent with long-term averages.<\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Sources : Tropical Storm Risk, extended range forecast decembere 2025 ; AccuWeather, 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast, mars 2026 ; Climate Impact Company, North Atlantic 2025 Review \/ 2026 Preliminary Forecast.<\/span><\/i><\/p>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_text _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.6&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb text_font=\u00a0\u00bbMontserrat||||||||\u00a0\u00bb border_width_bottom=\u00a0\u00bb2px\u00a0\u00bb border_color_bottom=\u00a0\u00bbgcid-2352d280-fe84-43b1-a71e-f400c35a526a\u00a0\u00bb global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{%22gcid-2352d280-fe84-43b1-a71e-f400c35a526a%22:%91%22border_color_bottom%22%93}\u00a0\u00bb]<h2>Lessons from recent seasons in the Caribbean: numbers do not tell the whole story<\/h2>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_text _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.6&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{}\u00a0\u00bb]<p>The 2025 season clearly illustrates that global statistics can mask severe local impacts. Despite below-average activity, the proportion of major hurricanes was particularly high, resulting in significant damage.<\/p>\n<p>This paradox\u2014fewer systems but higher intensity\u2014reflects the evolving influence of climate change. With sea surface temperatures in the Caribbean ranging between 27.5\u00b0C and 30\u00b0C, the region has become a highly favorable environment for the rapid intensification of Category 4 and 5 hurricanes.<\/p>\n<p>Furthermore, the National Hurricane Center has introduced an updated forecast cone in 2026, improving the visualization of inland risks such as wind and rainfall\u2014beyond coastal storm surge. This reflects a growing recognition of inland impacts, which are often underestimated.<\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ressources : M\u00e9t\u00e9o-France Antilles, 2025 bilan ; Caribbean atlas \u2013 Caen university, huricanne season 2024-2025 (Fr\u00e9d\u00e9rique Loew-Turbout, 2024) ; NHC.\u00a0<\/span><\/i><\/p>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][et_pb_row _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.6&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb background_color=\u00a0\u00bbrgba(0,101,114,0.31)\u00a0\u00bb width=\u00a0\u00bb100%\u00a0\u00bb max_width=\u00a0\u00bb2560px\u00a0\u00bb min_height=\u00a0\u00bb103px\u00a0\u00bb height=\u00a0\u00bb100px\u00a0\u00bb max_height=\u00a0\u00bb1000px\u00a0\u00bb custom_margin=\u00a0\u00bb-16px|auto||auto||\u00a0\u00bb custom_padding=\u00a0\u00bb||||false|false\u00a0\u00bb border_color_all=\u00a0\u00bbgcid-2352d280-fe84-43b1-a71e-f400c35a526a\u00a0\u00bb border_width_left=\u00a0\u00bb4px\u00a0\u00bb global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{%22gcid-2352d280-fe84-43b1-a71e-f400c35a526a%22:%91%22border_color_all%22%93}\u00a0\u00bb][et_pb_column type=\u00a0\u00bb4_4&Prime; _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.6&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{}\u00a0\u00bb][et_pb_text _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.6&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb text_font=\u00a0\u00bb&#8211;et_global_body_font||||||||\u00a0\u00bb text_text_color=\u00a0\u00bbgcid-2352d280-fe84-43b1-a71e-f400c35a526a\u00a0\u00bb background_color=\u00a0\u00bbRGBA(255,255,255,0)\u00a0\u00bb text_orientation=\u00a0\u00bbjustified\u00a0\u00bb custom_margin=\u00a0\u00bb|50px||50px|false|true\u00a0\u00bb custom_padding=\u00a0\u00bb0px|0px|||false|false\u00a0\u00bb global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{%22gcid-2352d280-fe84-43b1-a71e-f400c35a526a%22:%91%22text_text_color%22%93}\u00a0\u00bb]<p><strong>In 2024, three Category 5 hurricanes occurred in a single season : an unprecedented event in the satellite era. Climate change is contributing to an increased likelihood of extreme events, making seasonal forecasts less predictive of actual impacts at the local scale.<\/strong><\/p>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][et_pb_row _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.6&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb min_height=\u00a0\u00bb287.2px\u00a0\u00bb custom_padding=\u00a0\u00bb||0px|||\u00a0\u00bb global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{}\u00a0\u00bb][et_pb_column type=\u00a0\u00bb4_4&Prime; _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.6&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{}\u00a0\u00bb][et_pb_text _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.6&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb text_font=\u00a0\u00bbMontserrat||||||||\u00a0\u00bb text_text_color=\u00a0\u00bbgcid-2352d280-fe84-43b1-a71e-f400c35a526a\u00a0\u00bb border_width_bottom=\u00a0\u00bb2px\u00a0\u00bb border_color_bottom=\u00a0\u00bbgcid-2352d280-fe84-43b1-a71e-f400c35a526a\u00a0\u00bb global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{%22gcid-2352d280-fe84-43b1-a71e-f400c35a526a%22:%91%22border_color_bottom%22,%22text_text_color%22%93}\u00a0\u00bb]<h2>Preparedness remains essential<\/h2>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_text _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.6&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{}\u00a0\u00bb]<p>In light of these elements, one fundamental principle remains: preparedness must not depend on seasonal forecasts.<\/p>\n<p>To better prepare, consult the sections: <a href=\"https:\/\/caribbean-risks.org\/es\/prevenir\/\"><strong>\u201cHow to prepare\u201d<\/strong><\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/caribbean-risks.org\/es\/proteccion-contra-huracanes\/\"><strong>\u201cHow to protect yourself from hurricanes.\u201d<\/strong><\/a><\/p>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_text _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.6&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb text_font=\u00a0\u00bbMontserrat||||||||\u00a0\u00bb border_width_bottom=\u00a0\u00bb2px\u00a0\u00bb border_color_bottom=\u00a0\u00bbgcid-2352d280-fe84-43b1-a71e-f400c35a526a\u00a0\u00bb global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{%22gcid-2352d280-fe84-43b1-a71e-f400c35a526a%22:%91%22border_color_bottom%22%93}\u00a0\u00bb]<h2>Ressources and references<\/h2>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_text _builder_version=\u00a0\u00bb4.27.6&Prime; _module_preset=\u00a0\u00bbdefault\u00a0\u00bb text_text_color=\u00a0\u00bbgcid-body-color\u00a0\u00bb global_colors_info=\u00a0\u00bb{%22gcid-body-color%22:%91%22text_text_color%22%93}\u00a0\u00bb]<ul>\n<li><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> CARICOF \u2014 Caribbean Climate Outlook Forum, march 2026 bulletin.<\/span><\/em><\/li>\n<li><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> AccuWeather, \u00ab 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast: 11-16 named storms predicted \u00bb, march 2026.<\/span><\/em><\/li>\n<li><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Tropical Storm Risk (TSR\/UCL), extended range seasonal forecast, december 2025.<\/span><\/em><\/li>\n<li><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Climate Impact Company, \u00ab North Atlantic 2025 Tropical Cyclone Season Review, Preliminary 2026 Forecast \u00bb, december 2025.<\/span><\/em><\/li>\n<li><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> NOAA \/ Climate Prediction Center<\/span><\/em><\/li>\n<li><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Fox Weather, \u00ab Strong El Ni\u00f1o could alter 2026 hurricane season in the Atlantic \u00bb, march 2026.<\/span><\/em><\/li>\n<li><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> M\u00e9t\u00e9o-France Guadeloupe<\/span><\/em><\/li>\n<li><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> M\u00e9t\u00e9o-France Antilles-Guyane, hurricane season 2025<\/span><\/em><\/li>\n<li><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Caribbean atlas, Caen Normandie University\u00a0<\/span><\/em><\/li>\n<li><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0OMM<\/span><\/em><\/li>\n<li><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> NHC \u2014 National Hurricane Center, 2024 and 2025 report season\u00a0<\/span><\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][\/et_pb_section]","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>2026 Hurricane Season Forecast in the Caribbean2026 hurricane season forecast in the Caribbean is expected to present mixed signals. While major international meteorological agencies anticipate activity close to or slightly below average, several concerning indicators call for continued vigilance and maximum preparedness among populations and risk management stakeholders across the region.\u26a0\ufe0f A single hurricane is [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":4656,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"on","_et_pb_old_content":"<!-- wp:code -->\n<pre class=\"wp-block-code\"><code><\/code><\/pre>\n<!-- \/wp:code -->","_et_gb_content_width":"1080","footnotes":""},"categories":[48],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6972","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-english"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>2026 hurricane season forecast in the Caribbean - Caribbean Risks<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"What is the forecast for the 2026 hurricane season in the Caribbean? 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